Discount Rate Change Factsheet
On Monday 27 February 2017 the Lord Chancellor, Liz Truss, made an important announcement in respect of
the Discount Rate, which is used as part of the calculation to determine the amount of compensation to be
paid to seriously injured individuals.
The significant change to the Discount Rate is one which affects the insurance industry as a whole, as well
as you, the customer, and claimants.
This factsheet outlines what the recently announced amendments to the Discount Rate mean for you and
how AXA is responding to those changes.
What is the Discount Rate?
The Discount Rate, also known as the Ogden Rate, forms part of the calculation to determine the level of
award in respect of cases involving serious injury. Claim settlements for injury are made up of a number of
• compensation for pain and suffering
• future loss of earnings
• future cost of care
• ‘other’ financial support, either towards activities
that cannot be performed as a result of the injury (i.e. driving, caring for dependents etc.) or the provision of additional support, such asprosthetics.
• legal and professional fees.
When assessing future loss of earnings, the courts multiply the amount they consider the claimant will
lose each year by factors such as their age and their projected mortality rate. Similar factors are applied to
the amount required for future cost of care. In the case of serious injury, the amount allocated
towards loss of earnings and future cost of care can be high, as the settlement is designed to provide financial
indemnity over a number of years.
When such an award is made in a lump sum, it can be therefore equate to a considerable amount of money.
As a result, an allowance is made by the courts in respect of future losses to reflect the fact that the
claimant will be able to invest the lump sum awarded and earn interest on that investment over a period of
time. The settlement is therefore ‘discounted’ by the amount of interest the claimant can expect to earn
over that period. It is this adjustment which is known as the Discount Rate and that is subject to the recently
The Discount Rate is linked to returns on low risk investments, typically Index-Linked Gilts.
What has changed?
The Government has changed the Discount Rate from 2.5% to -0.75%. This means that, rather than any
lump sum award being discounted to allow for a 2.5% investment return, the indemnity settlement will be
increased, reflecting a decision that over the long term there is predicted to be a negative return on investment.
The effect of this change will be to increase the value of claims for future financial loss. The change is
most significant for younger claimants, for whom the settlement needs to cover the greatest length of time.
Why has the rate changed and when does it take effect?
The Discount Rate hadn’t been adjusted since 2001, despite interest rates falling during that time. The yield
on gilts and government bonds, particularly, has fallen during this time.
The recently announced reduction in the rate is designed to reflect the fact that less investment
income is available today compared to when the rate was last adjusted, and has been introduced to ensure
that claimants are more appropriately compensated over the remainder of their lives.
This will apply to all claims settled in England and Wales on or after the 20 March 2017 and Scotland on or after
the 28 March 2017, regardless of when the loss was incurred or notified.
As mentioned above, the Ogden ‘Discount’ rate was set at a level to help ensure that when an injured person
was paid today compensation for a loss of wages or for care that might be needed 30 or 40 years from now,
the amount of that loss was discounted by an amount to allow for the interest they would earn before that
money was actually needed. The concerns that inflation is higher than investment returns on ‘Gilts’ mean that
instead of a discount, a small loading will instead apply. The difference between 2.5% and -0.75% doesn’t sound
that much but here’s an example of how it could work in practice.
Which lines of business / products are affected by the changes?
The Discount Rate applies to injury claims, so any product which provides cover for Motor (including
Motor Trade) or Liability (Employers’ Liability and Public & Products Liability) will be affected. This includes
Property-led products such as Property Owners and Landlords where liability cover is included.
So, does the change mean my insurance premium will increase?
The heightened cost of claims for insurers will mean an increase in the cost of insurance, in respect of those
products that are affected, regardless of where the insurance policy is bought from.
We have to ensure that today’s prices reflect the cost of claims in future years, which are now going to be
significantly higher than they previously were. We will ensure however, that any increases will be kept in line
with the wider market and that disruption to you will be kept to a minimum.
AXA is a well diversified and financially strong business, so there should be no concern from our claimants or
policyholders in our ability to meet claims under new regulations.
How much will my insurance premium go up by?
The percentage change will differ depending on your individual circumstances, including the activities you
undertake, your claims history and your exposure to severe injury losses.
I’ve never had a claim. Does this mean I won’t be affected? Large losses are much more difficult to predict than small
to medium ones. Previous claims history isn’t always an indicator of your likelihood to incur a significant claim in
the future. Unfortunately, unpredictable accidents happen in all industries including those which are perceived as
Exposure within liability or motor lines of business will inherently carry a risk of incurring a liability for a claim
involving a serious injury and therefore premiums need to reflect a proportionate allocation for potential large
losses in the future. In this way, insurance acts as a pool, whereby an amount of premium is secured from everyone
to create a fund to pay for the larger losses which statistically will occur from the relative few in the pool.
The exact amount of this will depend on a range of factors, including trade activities, approach to risk
management, previous claims history and exposure to serious injury claims. But if the cost of large losses
increases, then so must the contribution that everyone
makes to the pool. That includes low risk and claims-free cases.
If you have any further questions about what the Ogden Discount Rate change means for you,
please call Mercia Insurance 02476 237 600.